You may propose an idea, like our CO2 causes dangerous climate change. You may show evidence to support your idea. But the defense only needs to show your idea has one mistake or one incorrect prediction to prove your idea is wrong.
Some climate alarmists’ claim their idea is true because of a “preponderance of evidence.” This is not the scientific method and it leads to the wrong conclusion.
The scientific method says we can never prove an idea is true. We only can prove an idea is false. To approach truth, we discard fiction. Since we can never discard all fiction, science is never settled.
Let’s drop in on another fictitious trial.
The prosecution claims human CO2 emissions cause climate change. The prosecution introduces the following evidence:
- Humans have burned carbon-based fuels in meaningful quantities since 1950.
- Global temperatures have been mostly rising since 1950.
- Climate models embody the alarmist idea.
- Climate models predict human CO2 will cause future temperature rise.
- Consequences are dangerous sea levels, hurricanes, etc.
Looks bad for CO2 but let’s hear from the defense.
The defense requests dismissal of consequential evidence, like sea levels, because consequences do not prove causation. The judge agrees. Consequential evidence dismissed.
The defense calls its witnesses.
Dr. Richard Feynman, Nobel Laureate in Physics, explains the scientific method. You get an idea or hypothesis. You use your idea to make a prediction. If your prediction is wrong, your idea is wrong.
Dr. Albert Einstein testifies we must compare predictions of climate models to new data. Einstein’s relativity idea predicted our sun’s gravity would