• Tag Archives debt forgiveness
  • How the US Government Created the Student Loan Crisis

    President Joe Biden unveiled a sweeping plan on Wednesday to let delinquent student loan borrowers transfer tens of thousands of dollars in debt to taxpayers. If he were a biblically minded leader, Biden would have used his nationally televised press conference to repent of his role in creating the student loan crisis in the first place.

    Biden’s student loan bailout lets individuals write off $20,000 in unpaid student loans if they received Pell Grants or $10,000 if they did not. The plan is open to households that make up to $250,000 a year or individuals who make $125,000. It would also reduce the number of people who have to make student loan payments at all, as well as the amount and time they must pay before US taxpayers pick up the tab for their full loan.

    While much of the commentary has focused on students who refused to make their loan payments, few have discussed how successive presidential administrations set those students up for failure. The federal government largely nationalized the student loan industry in 2010 via a piece of legislation related to Obamacare, the “Health Care and Education Reconciliation Act of 2010.” The US government now holds 92 percent of all student loans — and the nation’s total student debt has more than doubled, from $811 billion in April 2010 to $1.748 trillion in April 2022.

    Part of the reason the figures have surged — and students start life so indebted — is due to progressive policies that made it impossible for most people to ever pay off their student loans. In their haste to have the US taxpayer underwrite the maximum amount of college tuition, they transformed most student loans from a fixed-rate loan — like a mortgage or car loan — to a plan based on the student’s post-graduation income. Gradually, the borrower’s share of his college loans shrank, while the taxpayer’s increased.

    The first income-based repayment plan — the William D. Ford Federal Direct Loan Program, established in July 1994 under the Clinton administration — required students to pay up to 20 percent of their discretionary income for 25 years; any remaining balance would be paid by taxpayers. The George W. Bush administration passed the College Cost Reduction and Access Act of 2007, which let graduates pay 15 percent of their income above 150 percent of the federal poverty line. The Obama-Biden administration reduced that to 10 percent and wrote off unpaid undergraduate loans after 20 years under a series of new loan policies between 2012 and 2014.

    These policies made student loan debt effectively permanent and unpayable.

    The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) spelled out the process in a thorough, February 2020 report. CBO researchers followed college graduates who began paying off student loans in 2012. “By the end of 2017, over 75% of those borrowers owed more than they had originally borrowed. By contrast, the median balance among borrowers in fixed-payment plans decreased steadily,” they noted. “Loans are often repaid more slowly under income-driven plans because the required payments are too small to cover the accruing interest. As a result, borrowers in such plans typically see their balance grow over time rather than being paid down.”

    The federal government took over nearly all student loans, forced students to make years of payments only to fall further behind, then handed the enlarged debt to the US taxpayer. The ill-advised policies began as far back as 1978 with the Middle Income Student Assistant Act, which let all college students accrue student loan debt. A series of bills expanded this web of indebtedness to an ever-larger percentage of Americans — and Joe Biden supported every single legislative misstep. He also made it all-but impossible to discharge student loans in bankruptcy, ensuring that graduates’ hopelessly accumulating loan payments went on endlessly — and that college administrators continued to collect.

    If someone wanted to destroy a generation’s hope in their ability to get ahead, he couldn’t have devised a better system.

    As the French wag said, that policy is “worse than a crime; it’s a mistake.” The majority of student loans are now income-based according to the CBO, and the loans the government would issue between 2020 and 2029 will cost taxpayers an estimated $82.9 billion. All this ignores the fact that Uncle Sam has proved a poor accountant. A Government Accountability Office (GAO) report released in July found the Department of Education predicted that student loans would generate $114 billion for the federal government; they instead lost $197 billion — a $311 billion error, mostly due to incorrect analysis.

    Only the federal government could lose money on an industry that has grown at four times the rate of inflation. As Milton Friedman once observed, “If you put the federal government in charge of the Sahara Desert, in five years there’d be a shortage of sand.”

    And, of course, those calculations didn’t consider the possibility that Biden would transfer a hefty part of that amount to productive US taxpayers, who cannot default from compulsory taxation.

    Biden and former President Barack Obama should repent for fastening this debt burden to the younger generation, then increasing the unfathomable national debt for all Americans. President Biden’s announcement on Wednesday afternoon should have seen him bow before the audience, whisper a “mea culpa,” and offer the write-offs as an act of restitution and reparation for the bad policies he supported for more than four decades. To fit proper biblical restitution, the payment would have to be made to the 75 percent of students who took out government-created, income-based student loans since the Obama administration — especially those who made their payments. He would also have to have the legal and constitutional authority to redistribute other people’s money, which he does not. But if he did, that arrangement would at least be fair.

    But in the Bible, repentance (μετάνοια) means to change one’s mind and behavior. Biden’s new student loan bailout did not represent heartfelt repentance but hard-hearted defiance. Instead of turning the ship of state back toward safety, Biden cried, “Damn the torpedoes, full speed ahead!” Rather than abandon the income-based student loan bondage he and Barack Obama designed, he further reduced the minimum payments to 5 percent of new graduates’ discretionary income, raised discretionary income to 225 percent of the poverty level, and let students transfer their unpaid loans to taxpayers after 10 years. That will consign even more graduates to a life of hopeless interest-service payments and force taxpayers to eat an even larger percentage of defaulted, inflated debt.

    That only makes sense if the progressives intend to collapse the system, as many believed they designed Obamacare to force the US healthcare system into a death spiral, and replace it with a government-run socialist alternative. Obama admitted he favored socialized medicine in 2008. “If I were designing a system from scratch, I would probably go ahead with a single-payer system,” Obama told a campaign rally. But for the moment, he would tinker with the existing system until Americans “decide that there are other ways for us to provide care more effectively.”

    Is it possible this is the next step toward government-funded college? Whatever it is, it is not the road back to economic sanity.

    Biden and Obama should repent. And if they will not humble themselves, voters should humble those who support their immoral policies at the ballot box.

    A similar version of this story appeared in The Washington Stand.


    Ben Johnson

    Rev. Ben Johnson is a senior editor at the Acton Institute. His work focuses on the principles necessary to create a free and virtuous society in the transatlantic sphere (the U.S., Canada, and Europe). 

    This article was originally published on FEE.org. Read the original article.


  • Student Debt Forgiveness Is Already Happening Because of the Payment “Freeze”

    In March of 2020, Donald Trump paused federal student loan payments and “froze” interest accumulation in an effort to help borrowers through the difficulty of pandemic shutdowns.

    The Oval Office has changed occupants, pandemic shutdowns have ended, but the payment and interest freeze has been extended several times. As Friedman quipped, “there’s nothing so permanent as a temporary government program.”

    When Brad Polumbo and I wrote about temporary pandemic programs (including the student-loan payment freeze) becoming permanent in September, I noticed some criticism in the line of “the programs are still here because the pandemic is still here.”

    Well, for what it’s worth, Fauci now says we’re out of the pandemic phase. Of course, some may simply disagree with Fauci. To some, we may never be.

    In any case, the student loan payment freeze has certainly outlasted the government shutdown. And, although there are many problems in the economy right now, it wouldn’t be hard to point to worse economies in the past when student loan payments were still being collected.

    So I think it’s safe to say that the payment freeze has moved on from being temporary relief, and it can now be better classified as “student loan forgiveness”.

    Why would a pause on payments and interest accumulation fall under the category of student loan forgiveness?

    Well, every day this program continues, borrowers are exempted from paying interest they agreed to pay. Or, put differently, the federal government is taking the hit for the monthly interest payment in terms of lost cash inflows.

    Ultimately, this means taxpayers are the generous ones picking up the tab. Why? Well, when the federal government chooses not to charge interest it is owed, the revenue of the government is lower than it would be.

    All government spending must ultimately be financed with government revenue. So when the government spends money or borrows money, it must ultimately come from the taxes it collects (for the sake of simplicity we’ll ignore revenue via seigniorage).

    So if the government decides to spend the same amount it budgeted to spend before freezing interest, and it receives less money from interest due to the freeze, it must take more money from present or future taxpayers.

    Alternatively, even if the government decided to spend less money to offset the lack of interest received (an otherworldly scenario), taxpayers would still be worse off because they’d be paying the same taxes for less government services provided.

    In either case, taxpayers are left holding the bag. Student loan holders who don’t have to make payments or deal with interest accumulation are better off. Interest is forgiven on the public’s dime.

    If you’re not a finance person, this might seem minor. How much could this really be costing? Well, in the first few months, it was probably not that much. But the thing about interest is, it compounds.

    To estimate the total revenue the federal government has forgone with this freeze, let’s do a simple back-of-the-envelope estimate.

    Student loan interest compounds daily, but the rate on the loans is represented in annual terms. In other words, a 4% interest rate on your federal student loans means your balance will be 4% larger at the end of the year if you didn’t pay anything toward the initial loan amount itself.

    For simplicity’s sake, imagine you had a loan of $100, and a 4% interest rate in annual terms. At the end of the year, you’d owe 100*1.04=$104. Next year the 4% interest would accumulate on the balance of $104 so your new balance would be $104*1.04=$108.16.

    In reality, this understates the growth of the loan balance because of factors dealing with how annual interest rates are expressed compared to how interest compounds, but this simplification will do for a conservative estimate.

    So to find the total amount of interest forgone, we need the balance of federal loans and the average interest rate (weighted by loan amount).

    Average interest rate data are difficult to come by. Educationaldata.org claims the average rate for Federal Student Loans is 4.12%. But this number is just an average of interest rates since 2013, not a weighted average. It also uses only undergraduate loans which have lower interest rates. If you extend that back to 2007, you get an unweighted average of 4.66%.

    I also did some quick calculations using Federal Reserve Data on outstanding student loans to determine the weight of different years. This gave me a weighted average of 4.69%. Lastly, If I use only the last 10 years, I get a weighted average of 4.03%.

    Since most federal student loans are paid off in 10 years, let’s stick with the lower 4.03%, which will provide a more conservative estimate anyways. (My guess is this is much lower than reality, but it provides some guidance.)

    We have an interest rate, but what about an amount? Well, outstanding Federal Student Loan debt is $1.61 trillion.

    Finally, as a last simplifying assumption, I’ll be calculating the forgiveness over two years. It’s been 2 years and 3 months, but not including the last 3 months of forgiven interest provides a more conservative estimate.

    So, compounding 4.03% interest on $1.61 trillion twice leaves a total balance of $1.74 trillion. This means a total of over $130 billion dollars in interest has been forgiven. Since there are 43 million borrowers, this comes out to an average of around $3,078 of interest forgiveness per borrower.

    In other words, we’re already 30% of the way to Biden’s $10,000 forgiveness dream.

    As a recent FEE article summarized, student loan forgiveness tends to benefit the wealthy at the expense of the poor and middle class. Economists call this sort of policy regressive (not to be confused with the “going backward” meaning of the term).

    It’s clear why. Those with large student loan balances tend to be people pursuing higher-paying careers with an expensive education. Being a doctor or a lawyer is lucrative but becoming one is expensive. And top liberal arts schools charge higher tuition than state schools.

    The student loan payment freeze is in some ways even more regressive. Remember, the $3,078 of forgiveness was an average. That means some borrowers are benefiting more than that and some are benefiting less. Unlike a flat $10,000 forgiveness, which at least forgives all borrowers equally, the interest freeze is most beneficial for those with large loan balances.

    Bankrate claims the average lawyer graduates with $165,000 in student loan debt. At the interest rate of 4.03% this translates to over $13,000 in forgiven interest. In fact, anyone with student debt more than $125,000 has already received more than the $10,000 in forgiveness Biden has promised.

    Compare this to someone who graduates from a regional college with $10,000 in debt. This only translates to around $800 in forgiveness.

    To sum up, student loan forgiveness is already here. And it’s already helping the rich at the expense of the poor.


    Peter Jacobsen

    Peter Jacobsen teaches economics at Ottawa University where he holds the positions of Assistant Professor and Gwartney Professor of Economic Education and Research at the Gwartney Institute. He received his graduate education George Mason University and received his undergraduate education Southeast Missouri State University. His research interest is at the intersection of political economy, development economics, and population economics. His website can be found here.

    This article was originally published on FEE.org. Read the original article.