{"id":26318,"date":"2021-03-10T16:44:45","date_gmt":"2021-03-10T21:44:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.megalextoria.com\/wordpress\/?p=26318"},"modified":"2021-03-10T16:44:45","modified_gmt":"2021-03-10T21:44:45","slug":"the-new-york-times-finally-discovers-unintended-consequences","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.megalextoria.com\/wordpress\/index.php\/2021\/03\/10\/the-new-york-times-finally-discovers-unintended-consequences\/","title":{"rendered":"The New York Times Finally Discovers Unintended Consequences"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"\/wordpress\/?attachment_id=26319\" class=\"attachment wp-att-26319\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/covid_absolutism_unintended-consequences_nyt2-1024x681.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"802\" height=\"533\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-26319\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.megalextoria.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/covid_absolutism_unintended-consequences_nyt2-1024x681.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.megalextoria.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/covid_absolutism_unintended-consequences_nyt2-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.megalextoria.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/covid_absolutism_unintended-consequences_nyt2-768x511.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.megalextoria.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/covid_absolutism_unintended-consequences_nyt2-180x120.jpg 180w, https:\/\/www.megalextoria.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/covid_absolutism_unintended-consequences_nyt2.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 802px) 100vw, 802px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The<em> New York Times<\/em> published an article on Friday under a simple headline: \u201c<a class=\"keychainify-checked steem-keychain-checked\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2021\/02\/12\/briefing\/trump-covid-chick-corea-olympics-president.html\" rel=\"nofollow\">Covid Absolutism<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The article opens by noting that during public health emergencies, absolutism\u2014the idea that people should cease any and all behavior that creates additional risk\u2014is a tempting response. <em>Times <\/em>writer David Leonhardt gives various examples of this \u201cabsolutism\u201d on display in America today.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cPeople continue to scream at joggers, walkers and cyclists who are not wearing masks. The University of California, Berkeley, this week banned outdoor exercise, masked or not, saying, \u2018The risk is real,\u2019\u201d he writes. \u201cThe University of Massachusetts Amherst has banned outdoor walks. It encouraged students to get exercise by &#8216;accessing food and participating in twice-weekly Covid testing.'&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Examples like these are virtually endless. They invite two key questions, Leonhardt notes: <em>How effective are these behaviors in reducing the spread of the virus? And is there a downside?<\/em><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"link-0\">The Rise of \u2018Hygiene Theater\u2019<\/h2>\n<p>As Leonhardt notes, many of these actions are essentially a kind of \u201chygiene theater,\u201d the subject of a recent <a class=\"keychainify-checked steem-keychain-checked\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/ideas\/archive\/2021\/02\/hygiene-theater-still-waste\/617939\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">article<\/a> in the<em> Atlantic<\/em> written by Derek Thompson.<\/p>\n<p>The phrase basically speaks for itself. According to Leonhardt, these actions are not rooted in science, and are primarily a form of theatrical presentation that will have little or no actual impact.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cProhibiting outdoor activity is unlikely to reduce the spread of the virus, nor is urging people always to wear a mask outdoors,\u201d he writes. \u201cWorldwide, scientists have not documented any instances of outdoor transmission unless people were in close conversation, Dr. Muge Cevik, an infectious-disease specialist at the University of St. Andrews in Scotland, told me.\u201d<\/p>\n<div style=\"display: flex; max-width: 550px; width: 100%; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;\"><iframe id=\"twitter-widget-0\" class=\"\" style=\"position: static; visibility: visible; width: 550px; height: 803px; display: block; flex-grow: 1;\" title=\"Twitter Tweet\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/embed\/Tweet.html?creatorScreenName=feeonline&amp;dnt=false&amp;embedId=twitter-widget-0&amp;frame=false&amp;hideCard=false&amp;hideThread=false&amp;id=1359564243113279493&amp;lang=en&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Ffee.org%2Farticles%2Fthe-new-york-times-finally-discovers-unintended-consequences%2F&amp;siteScreenName=feeonline&amp;theme=light&amp;widgetsVersion=e1ffbdb%3A1614796141937&amp;width=550px\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-tweet-id=\"1359564243113279493\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div>\n<p>So the answer to Leonhardt\u2019s first question\u2014<em>How effective are they at reducing the spread of the virus?<\/em>\u2014 is not difficult to answer: they\u2019re not effective.<\/p>\n<p>The second question, and its answer, is more interesting.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"link-1\">Unintended Consequences of \u2018Hygiene Theater\u2019<\/h2>\n<p>One might be tempted to argue that these theatrics still produce positive outcomes, since they are likely to make people more conscious of the pandemic and slow the spread of the virus.<\/p>\n<p><em>Taking extreme precautions is simply \u201cplaying it safe.\u201d What\u2019s the harm in that?<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The answer is, \u201cplenty.\u201d First, Leonhardt argues it\u2019s not part of human nature to live in a perpetual state of extreme caution.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cTaking every possible precaution is unrealistic,\u201d he writes. \u201cHuman beings are social creatures who crave connection and pleasure and who cannot minimize danger at all times.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Perhaps more importantly, he argues that extreme caution can backfire and produce outcomes that have the opposite of their desired effect. He uses the AIDS crisis as an example, pointing out that demonizing sexual intercourse and trying to frighten people away from it had the unintended consequence of <em>increasing <\/em>unsafe sex.<\/p>\n<p>A similar phenomenon appears to be at work today.<\/p>\n<div style=\"clear: both;\">\n<div id=\"om-fqmeg7lcejd7fy5oro5r-holder\">\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"om-lxkcubhhqwmdm0lkjkbp-holder\">\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u201cTelling Americans to wear masks when they\u2019re unnecessary undermines efforts to persuade more people to wear masks where they are vital,\u201d Leonhardt writes.<\/p>\n<p>For many, this statement probably doesn\u2019t sound particularly noteworthy. It basically has the ring of common sense, a variation of <em><a class=\"keychainify-checked steem-keychain-checked\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/The_Boy_Who_Cried_Wolf\" rel=\"nofollow\">The Boy Who Cried Wolf<\/a>, <\/em>one of Aesop\u2019s famous parables, which taught that false alarms can harm humans by inhibiting their ability to detect actual danger.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"link-2\">The Timeless Lesson of Unintended Consequences<\/h2>\n<p>The COVID-19 pandemic has been a case study in &#8220;unintended consequences,&#8221; a term popularized <a class=\"keychainify-checked steem-keychain-checked\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2003\/02\/24\/nyregion\/robert-k-merton-versatile-sociologist-and-father-of-the-focus-group-dies-at-92.html\" rel=\"nofollow\">by American sociologist Robert K. Merton<\/a> in the twentieth century. Basically, it\u2019s the idea that virtually every action comes with outcomes that are not foreseen or intended.<\/p>\n<p>The French economist Fr\u00e9d\u00e9ric Bastiat alluded to this concept in his famous essay, \u201c<a class=\"keychainify-checked steem-keychain-checked\" href=\"http:\/\/bastiat.org\/en\/twisatwins.html\" rel=\"nofollow\">That Which is Seen, and That Which is Not Seen<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIn the department of economy, an act, a habit, an institution, a law, gives birth not only to an effect, but to a series of effects,\u201d Bastiat wrote.<\/p>\n<p>The problem, he noted, is that humans rarely pay attention to the unseen or unintended effects of a given action or policy. Ignoring these outcomes is one of the great mistakes in public policy, the Nobel Laureate Milton Friedman <a class=\"keychainify-checked steem-keychain-checked\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/notable-quotable-milton-friedman-1444169267\" rel=\"nofollow\">once observed<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Unfortunately, ignoring unintended consequences and focusing on intentions is precisely what we saw in 2020, and nobody has been more guilty of this than the <em>Times<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>If you search for articles discussing the unintended consequences of COVID-19 policies, which are boundless, you\u2019ll find <a class=\"keychainify-checked steem-keychain-checked\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/search?safe=active&amp;rlz=1C1CHBF_enUS812US813&amp;sxsrf=ALeKk03TG8_2uwYz7DUsl6Ceh-AC90Dslw%3A1613151420339&amp;ei=vLwmYMuMFIr0tAbipZe4Dg&amp;q=unintended+consequences+covid-19+lockdowns+new+york+times&amp;oq=Unintended+Cons&amp;gs_lcp=Cgdnd3Mtd2l6EAEYAjIECCMQJzIECCMQJzIECCMQJzIFCAAQkQIyBwguEIcCEBQyBAgAEEMyAggAMgIIADICCAAyAggAOgUILhCRAjoFCAAQsQM6CAgAELEDEIMBOgoIABCxAxCDARBDOgcIABCxAxBDOgcIABDJAxBDOgUIABCSAzoECAAQCjoGCAAQChBDOgcILhCxAxAKOgsILhCxAxDHARCjAjoOCC4QsQMQgwEQxwEQowI6BwgAEMkDEAo6BwgjEOoCECc6AgguOgUILhCxAzoECAAQAzoHCCMQsQIQJzoECC4QCjoGCAAQChADOgoIABCxAxCDARAKUOiP4AFYqPDgAWCOg-EBaAlwAHgAgAFziAHgEZIBBDIwLjWYAQCgAQGqAQdnd3Mtd2l6sAEKwAEB&amp;sclient=gws-wiz\" rel=\"nofollow\">virtually nothing<\/a> on their site. I was able to find two articles using the phrase \u201cunintended consequences\u201d of COVID lockdowns.<\/p>\n<p>One article, published in September, is <a class=\"keychainify-checked steem-keychain-checked\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2020\/06\/05\/world\/canada\/bonnie-henry-british-columbia-coronavirus.html\" rel=\"nofollow\">a profile of Dr. Bonnie Henry<\/a>, a Canadian physician and British Columbia\u2019s top doctor who spoke of minimizing the unintended consequences of government interventions. The other is an <a class=\"keychainify-checked steem-keychain-checked\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2020\/05\/14\/world\/live-coronavirus-tracker.html\" rel=\"nofollow\">article in May<\/a> that discussed how lockdowns could result in a surge of mental illness.<\/p>\n<p>This dearth of coverage is unfortunate. The <em>Times <\/em>is one of the most influential papers in the world. It has immense reach and a news staff of <a class=\"keychainify-checked steem-keychain-checked\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/The_New_York_Times\" rel=\"nofollow\">1,300<\/a> people. And yet\u2014our tiny writing team at FEE<a class=\"keychainify-checked steem-keychain-checked\" href=\"https:\/\/fee.org\/archive\/topics\/Unintended%20Consequences\" rel=\"nofollow\" data-toggle=\"popover\"> has produced more articles<\/a> on the unintended consequences of lockdowns than the Grey Lady.<\/p>\n<p>No one is served by ignoring unintended consequences. (Well, <a class=\"keychainify-checked steem-keychain-checked\" href=\"https:\/\/fee.org\/articles\/how-states-turned-nursing-homes-into-slaughter-houses-by-forcing-them-to-admit-discharged-covid-19-patients\/\" rel=\"nofollow\" data-toggle=\"popover\">maybe politicians<\/a>.) If we\u2019re to understand the damage wrought in 2020 and prevent it in the future, lockdowns must be judged by their actual consequences, not what they were designed to achieve.<\/p>\n<p>And the adverse unintended consequences of lockdowns are <a class=\"keychainify-checked steem-keychain-checked\" href=\"https:\/\/fee.org\/articles\/4-life-threatening-unintended-consequences-of-the-lockdowns\/\" rel=\"nofollow\" data-toggle=\"popover\">legion<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The fact that even the <em>New York Times<\/em> is finally beginning to discuss the unintended consequences of COVID-19-inspired actions is a sign that we may be, however belatedly, moving in the right direction.<\/p>\n<p><strong>WATCH: What Cobras Can Teach Us About Incentives<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/6mGSN2YqeYE\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><script src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" defer=\"\" async=\"\"><\/script>\n<div>\n<h5><a class=\"keychainify-checked steem-keychain-checked\" href=\"http:\/\/fee.org\/people\/jon-miltimore\/\"><br \/>\nJon Miltimore<br \/>\n<\/a><\/h5>\n<p>Jonathan Miltimore is the Managing Editor of FEE.org. His writing\/reporting has been the subject of articles in TIME magazine, The Wall Street Journal, CNN, Forbes, Fox News, and the Star Tribune.<\/p>\n<p>Bylines: Newsweek, The Washington Times, MSN.com, The Washington Examiner, The Daily Caller, The Federalist, the Epoch Times.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p style=\"font-style: italic;\">This article was originally published on FEE.org. Read the <a href=\"https:\/\/fee.org\/articles\/the-new-york-times-finally-discovers-unintended-consequences\/\">original article<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/fee.org\/counter\/192304\" alt=\"\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\" \/><script src=\"https:\/\/fee.org\/Scripts\/fee-repub.js\" async=\"async\"><\/script>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The New York Times published an article on Friday under a simple headline: \u201cCovid Absolutism.\u201d The article opens by noting that during public health emergencies, absolutism\u2014the idea that people should cease any and all behavior that creates additional risk\u2014is a tempting response. Times writer David Leonhardt gives various examples of this \u201cabsolutism\u201d on display in America today. \u201cPeople continue to scream at joggers, walkers and cyclists who are not wearing masks. The University of California, Berkeley, this week banned outdoor exercise, masked or not, saying, \u2018The risk is real,\u2019\u201d he writes. \u201cThe University of Massachusetts Amherst has banned outdoor walks. It encouraged students to get exercise by &#8216;accessing food and participating in twice-weekly Covid testing.&#8217;&#8221; Examples like these are virtually endless. They invite two key questions, Leonhardt notes: How effective are these behaviors in reducing the spread of the virus? And is there a downside? The Rise of \u2018Hygiene Theater\u2019 As Leonhardt notes, many of these actions are essentially a kind of \u201chygiene theater,\u201d the subject of a recent article in the Atlantic written by Derek Thompson. The phrase basically speaks for itself. According to Leonhardt, these actions are not rooted in science, and are primarily a form of theatrical [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[3731,3628,3674,3627,3730,3682],"class_list":["post-26318","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news-and-politics","tag-absolutism","tag-coronavirus","tag-covid","tag-covid-19","tag-lockdown","tag-masks"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.megalextoria.com\/wordpress\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26318","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.megalextoria.com\/wordpress\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.megalextoria.com\/wordpress\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.megalextoria.com\/wordpress\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.megalextoria.com\/wordpress\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26318"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.megalextoria.com\/wordpress\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26318\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.megalextoria.com\/wordpress\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26318"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.megalextoria.com\/wordpress\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26318"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.megalextoria.com\/wordpress\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26318"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}