• Tag Archives inflation
  • A rising torrent of debt and destruction

    From April 1917 to November 1919, when President Woodrow Wilson borrowed $30 billion to pay for World War I, he was able to do so because of the promise he made to lenders that the commitment to repay them would be backed by the full faith and credit of the United States government.

    At the time, the government’s total debt was about $14 billion, so Wilson’s painful gambit tripled it.

    In reality, it was not the full faith and credit of the federal government that promised to repay; it was not the creditworthiness of the federal government at stake; it was not the federal government that paid back the money that was borrowed. That’s because the government has no credit or creditworthiness or disposable wealth. Only the taxpayers have that.

    This is not an academic difference. Wilson knew his creditors could not seize government buildings if he or a successor could not repay the loans in a timely manner. However, the Internal Revenue Service could seize private wealth if taxpayers didn’t cough up.

    At the time, the federal income tax was new. In order to get it passed in Congress, Wilson promised that the tax rate on personal incomes would never exceed 3 percent of adjusted gross income, and that it would only be assessed on adjusted gross incomes north of $10,000 a year — the rough equivalent of $250,000 today.

    Wilson also had a brand-new bank with its own legal printing press at his disposal: the Federal Reserve. With its power, the Federal Reserve could print and lend all the cash it wanted, flood the economy with money and cheapen the value of the dollar. When Wilson’s $30 billion debt was repaid, it would be done with dollars worth far less — and thus less painful to extract from taxpayers — than those he borrowed.

    This is, of course, government-induced inflation. It was relatively new in Wilson’s era, but it has been practiced by the Fed and accepted by every president from Wilson to Barack Obama. It can be done without the consent of Congress because Congress already gave the Fed the unlimited power to print cash and lend it. Today this is done without ink and paper; rather, by pressing a few computer keys.

    Now when the president wants to borrow more than the law allows, the Fed can provide the cash, but the president needs a change in the law so as to have the legal authority to commit as-yet-unborn taxpayers to repay the government’s additional debt. While in office, President Obama has borrowed about $1.2 trillion a year with the approval of Democrats as well as Republicans in Congress.

    The lenders are quick to make their loans, because the feds have never failed to extract the cash from taxpayers or borrow more in their names to pay the debt service. Presidents and Congresses don’t worry about paying back the principal or paying the debt service as long as they can continue to borrow more in order to do so.

    As absurd as it sounds, the federal government borrows money in order to pay the debt service on money it has already borrowed and spent. Is it any wonder that today the government’s debt has reached $17 trillion?

    In his zeal to persuade Congress to let the government borrow another trillion dollars over the next nine months, Mr. Obama has stated that raising the debt ceiling will not add to the nation’s debt. He is either willfully ignorant or Clintonesque in his use of misleading words.

    He knows the feds never have declined to borrow whatever they want, whenever they want it, up to the limit of their legal borrowing authority. They have done so with their eyes on only immediate political needs, with disdain for the economic consequences and with contempt for the future.

    However, the future cannot sustain this much longer. The half-trillion dollars a year the feds now pay in debt service on current and ancient debt is equivalent to one-fifth of all the yearly revenue collected in taxes. The $1.2 trillion the feds borrow and spend each year is the equivalent of half of all the yearly revenue collected in taxes.

    If the mindset of “borrow and spend and damn the future” persists, American society as we know it will collapse as taxpayers reach the tipping point beyond which it will no longer make sense to earn income.

    Do you think this sounds apocalyptic? Think again. Nearly half of the taxpayers in America are there already. Why should they work, they no doubt reason, when the feds will continue to tax and borrow and transfer wealth to them?

    Full article: http://www.washingto … debt-and-destructio/


  • Is the Dollar Dying? Why US Currency Is in Danger

    The U.S dollar is shrinking as a percentage of the world’s currency supply, raising concerns that the greenback is about to see its long run as the world’s premier denomination come to an end.

    When compared to its peers, the dollar has drifted to a 15-year low, according to the International Monetary Fund, indicating that more countries are willing to use other currencies to do business.

    While the American currency still reigns supreme — it constitutes $3.72 trillion, or 62 percent, of the $6 trillion in allocated foreign exchange holdings by the world’s central banks — the Japanese yen, Swiss franc and what the IMF classifies as “other currencies” such as the Chinese yuan are gaining.

    “Generally speaking, it is not believed by the vast majority that the American dollar will be overthrown,” Dick Bove, vice president of equity research at Rafferty Capital Markets, said in a note. “But it will be, and this defrocking may occur in as short a period as five to 10 years.”

    Bove uses several metrics to make his point, focusing on the dollar as a percentage of total world money supply.That total has plunged from nearly 90 percent in 1952 to closer to 15 percent now. He also notes that the Chinese yuan, the yen and the euro each have a greater share of that total.

    “To the degree that China succeeds in increasing its market share of the world’s currency market, the United States is the loser,” Bove said. “For years, I have been arguing that the move of the Chinese makes perfect sense from their point-of-view but no sense for the Americans.”

    For a country with a budget deficit in excess of $1 trillion a year, the consequences of losing standing as the world’s reserve currency would be dire.

    “If the dollar loses status as the world’s most reliable currency the United States will lose the right to print money to pay its debt. It will be forced to pay this debt,” Bove said. “The ratings agencies are already arguing that the government’s debt may be too highly rated. Plus, the United States Congress, in both its houses, as well as the president are demonstrating a total lack of fiscal credibility.”

    Full article: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100461159


  • As the market panic demonstrates, central banks are stuck on a treadmill of money printing

    Oh what a tangled web central bankers weave when they practice to deceive… Last night’s panic in Tokyo, where the Nikkei dropped a stomach churning 7 per cent, demonstrates just how difficult it’s going to be for the world’s central banks to exit their loose money policies.

    It’s not even as if Ben Bernanke, chairman of the Fed, said he was planning to exit; in fact, initially he said the reverse in testimony to Congress. It was only in the Q & A, and in minutes to the last meeting of the Fed’s Open Markets Committee, that a clear bias emerged to slow the pace of asset purchases “in the next few meetings”, so long as the economic data was strong enough.

    What the subsequent violent gyrations in markets indicate is that any hint of applying the brakes risks generating a fresh financial crisis, which in turn would render the economic recovery still born. Both financial markets and the real economy have become addicted to “quantitative easing”, such that they can’t do without it.

    The upshot is that we are going to see financial repression of the type being practiced in virtually all the major advanced economies – including, if only to a more limited extent, the eurozone – continue out into the indefinite future.

    Full article: http://blogs.telegra … l-of-money-printing/