Path: utzoo!utgpu!watmath!clyde!att!osu-cis!tut.cis.ohio-state.edu!triceratops.cis.ohio-state.edu!karl
From: karl@triceratops.cis.ohio-state.edu (Karl Kleinpaste)
Newsgroups: news.admin
Subject: Re: Usenet volume
Message-ID: 
Date: 6 Dec 88 15:57:51 GMT
References: <1995@van-bc.UUCP>
Sender: news@tut.cis.ohio-state.edu
Organization: OSU
Lines: 30
In-reply-to: sl@van-bc.UUCP's message of 5 Dec 88 23:10:26 GMT

sl@van-bc.UUCP (Stuart Lynne) writes:
   I was talking to a new news administrator today about the current news
   volumes and rate of increase.
   My gut feeling was that the news volume is doubling about every 16 months.
   Anybody have any statistics they can work with to give us an accurate idea
   of the rate of increase of volume. 

From Spaf's notes from the talk he gave to the IETF folks a couple of
months ago, slide 7 has exactly this info:

			Traffic

Based on figures from R. Adams, H. Spencer, M. Horton,
S. Bellovin, and B. Reid:

o 1979: 3 sites, 2 articles per day
o 1980: 15 sites, 10 articles per day
o 1981: about 150 sites, 20 articles per day
o 1982: about 400 sites, 35 articles per day
o 1983: over 600 sites, 120 articles per day
o 1984: over 900 sites, 225 articles per day
o 1985: over 1300 sites, 375 articles per day, 1Mb+ per day
o 1986: over 2500 sites, 500 articles per day, 2Mb+ per day
o 1987: over 5000 sites, 1000 articles per day, 2.4Mb+ per day

No figures for 1988 on the slide, but you get the idea.

Awesome.  Truly awesome.

--Karl