Relay-Version: version B 2.10 5/3/83; site utzoo.UUCP Posting-Version: version B 2.10.1 6/24/83; site mgweed.UUCP Path: utzoo!watmath!clyde!burl!ulysses!mhuxr!mhuxn!ihnp4!mgnetp!mgweed!rjr From: rjr@mgweed.UUCP (Bob Roehrig) Newsgroups: net.ham-radio Subject: arrl propagation forecast bulletin nr 45 Message-ID: <21605@mgweed.UUCP> Date: Tue, 12-Nov-85 18:00:43 EST Article-I.D.: mgweed.21605 Posted: Tue Nov 12 18:00:43 1985 Date-Received: Wed, 13-Nov-85 21:01:34 EST Organization: AT&T Information Systems - Montgomery Illinois Lines: 34 qst de k9eui hr propagation forecast bulletin nr 45 from arrl headquarters newington ct november 11, 1985 to all radio amateurs bt mentioned as a possibility in last weeks bulletin, an upward trend in the solar flux curve did begin november 5. from 69 on the 4th, the flux was up to 75 by the 8th. just as it did 4 weeks earlier, the curve then dropped one unit, holding there for two days. it remains to be seen if the larger rise that began october 13 will be with us a second time. the several active centers that pushed the flux up to 95 then are due back early this week. if nothing comes of it, we will put on a corrected bulletin later this week. regardless of the flux level, propagation is likely to be very erratic but with an overall trend to better conditions through about november 20. though flux levels may be down, signal strengths and quality should average better november 20 to 25 and 26 through 28 than in the earlier part of the month. the muf for northern hemisphere paths should be the highest of the year at those intervals. the month is likely to end with strong disturbances, but with the muf lower as we move into december. the author of these bulletins is on his way to florida this week, to assume permanent residence on the gulf coast. mail for him should carry the following address, edward p. tilton, w1hdq, p.o. box 5527 spring hill, fl 33526 american sunspot numbers for october 31 through november 6 were between 0 and 14 with a mean of 3.4 ar