Relay-Version: version B 2.10 5/3/83; site utzoo.UUCP Posting-Version: version B 2.10.2 9/17/84 chuqui version 1.7 9/23/84; site nsc.UUCP Path: utzoo!watmath!clyde!burl!ulysses!mhuxr!ihnp4!nsc!srm From: srm@nsc.UUCP (Richard Mateosian) Newsgroups: net.games.rogue Subject: Re: Re: Re: A good reason for letting a wrai Message-ID: <2184@nsc.UUCP> Date: Wed, 9-Jan-85 20:50:56 EST Article-I.D.: nsc.2184 Posted: Wed Jan 9 20:50:56 1985 Date-Received: Fri, 11-Jan-85 23:16:18 EST References: <4795@fortune.UUCP> <34500045@uiucdcs.UUCP> <7631@nlm-mcs.ARPA> Reply-To: srm@nsc.UUCP (Richard Mateosian) Organization: National Semiconductor, Sunnyvale Lines: 15 Summary: In article <7631@nlm-mcs.ARPA> miller@nlm-mcs.ARPA (Nancy Miller) writes: > >If you have gained less than six points when you advanced to the current level, >then you are likely to end up gaining in the exchange. However, if you have >more than five points, you are likely to end up losing in the exchange, >because the expected gain and loss are each 5.5 points. If I understand what you're saying, it's wrong! What happens in the "exchange" is that you have one or more losses with expectation of 5.5 each, followed by one gain of expectation 5.5. This is a net expectation of less than zero gain, REGARDLESS of what happened to you when you first attained your current level. -- Richard Mateosian {allegra,cbosgd,decwrl,hplabs,ihnp4,seismo}!nsc!srm nsc!srm@decwrl.ARPA