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From: srm@nsc.UUCP (Richard Mateosian)
Newsgroups: net.games.rogue
Subject: Re: Re: Re: A good reason for letting a wrai
Message-ID: <2184@nsc.UUCP>
Date: Wed, 9-Jan-85 20:50:56 EST
Article-I.D.: nsc.2184
Posted: Wed Jan  9 20:50:56 1985
Date-Received: Fri, 11-Jan-85 23:16:18 EST
References: <4795@fortune.UUCP> <34500045@uiucdcs.UUCP> <7631@nlm-mcs.ARPA>
Reply-To: srm@nsc.UUCP (Richard Mateosian)
Organization: National Semiconductor, Sunnyvale
Lines: 15
Summary: 

In article <7631@nlm-mcs.ARPA> miller@nlm-mcs.ARPA (Nancy Miller) writes:
>
>If you have gained less than six points when you advanced to the current level,
>then you are likely to end up gaining in the exchange.  However, if you have 
>more than five points, you are likely to end up losing in the exchange,
>because the expected gain and loss are each 5.5 points.

If I understand what you're saying, it's wrong!  What happens in the "exchange"
is that you have one or more losses with expectation of 5.5 each, followed by
one gain of expectation 5.5.  This is a net expectation of less than zero
gain, REGARDLESS of what happened to you when you first attained your current
level. 
-- 
Richard Mateosian
{allegra,cbosgd,decwrl,hplabs,ihnp4,seismo}!nsc!srm    nsc!srm@decwrl.ARPA