Relay-Version: version B 2.10 5/3/83; site utzoo.UUCP
Posting-Version: version B 2.10.1 6/24/83; site dciem.UUCP
Path: utzoo!dciem!mmt
From: mmt@dciem.UUCP (Martin Taylor)
Newsgroups: net.politics
Subject: Re: Soviets breaking treaty bounds
Message-ID: <1266@dciem.UUCP>
Date: Tue, 11-Dec-84 17:38:18 EST
Article-I.D.: dciem.1266
Posted: Tue Dec 11 17:38:18 1984
Date-Received: Tue, 11-Dec-84 20:15:22 EST
References: <1133@drusd.UUCP> <2082@randvax.UUCP> 
Reply-To: mmt@dciem.UUCP (Martin Taylor)
Organization: D.C.I.E.M., Toronto, Canada
Lines: 21
Summary: 


> And what is this about the Russians never testing part 150 kt?  
> I've talked to many of the seismo people at Livermore, and there
> is a lot of evidence that they have passed it, sizable evidence,
> but we can't PROVE IT, why?  Because we don't have seismo equipment
> onsite in the Soviet Union!  Thats a matter of verification.

There were several articles on this in Science this year.  The concensus
isn't that we can't PROVE it, but that it probably didn't happen.
A recent Science (can't give the reference because it's at home) has
a report on a cooperative international seismic net being set up with
the Russians.  This part of the verification problem may go away quite
soon.  Incidentally, it seems that the main reason the Russians SEEMED
to be going over 150 kton was uncertainty about decoupling calibrations
for their test sites.  It would have been to their advantage for us to
have had local observations.
-- 

Martin Taylor
{allegra,linus,ihnp4,floyd,ubc-vision}!utzoo!dciem!mmt
{uw-beaver,qucis,watmath}!utcsrgv!dciem!mmt